SRM: Marine Cloud Brightening
Marine Cloud Brightening (MCB) is the
process wherein the concentration of cloud micro-droplets in marine cloud
systems is increased to give them a whiter appearance, which ultimately
increases the amount of solar radiation they reflect.
How? ….
To increase the concentration of micro
droplets, cloud condensing nuclei particles would need to be increased.
Proposed methods have suggested using sea salt - a naturally occurring and very
abundant form of CCN.
Difficulties in the method arise over
implementation. How could sea salt be injected into the troposphere and be
evenly distributed? Aircrafts and ocean vessels have been put forward as
possible solutions to this problem. Due to the short residence time of less
than 10 days, 1500 ocean vessels with 28 billion nozzles distributing more than
50 cubic meters of sea-water droplets per second would be required to counteract a doubling of
atmospheric CO2.
Image 1: The first Flettner Rotor used instead of a sail on the Battner-Battner ship which crossed the Atlantic |
Image 2: A conceptual image of a Flettner Spray Vessel |
This calculation would seemingly lead one
to eliminate MCB as a solution to fix climate change however the work of Salteret al., 2008 seeks to address this issue as it proposes the use of ‘Flettner
Rotor Ships’ rather than ocean vessels or planes (see Image 1). These ships are wind powered,
remote controlled, unmanned, can be moved seasonally and most importantly spray
sea water droplets into the troposphere. The ships are thus a low carbon and
much more inexpensive method than vessel ships or planes. Moreover as sea water
is also inexpensive the method as a whole has a suggested cost of £2 billion
(Salter et al., 2008). Depending on maintenance costs, this method could be
very cost-effective in the long term, particularly in comparison to the much higher costs
of SRM methods.
Image 3: A sea going yacht conversion by John Marples that has incorporated Flettner Rotors |
The feasibility of Flettner Rotor Ships
proposal is limited as the technology needed to withdraw sea water and
effectively seed the troposphere is incomplete and thus effective
implementation is not yet possible. This is not to say the method would not
work, but until the technology is available the overall feasibility of the ships
is unknown. Further to this, MCB is limited as it can only counter warming from
doubling of CO2 –any warming beyond this could not be countered by MCB. The
method is therefore restricted as it is unable to return us to pre-industrial
temperatures however it should not be ruled out entirely as it could be used to
stabilize temperatures and keep them below critical thresholds.
In terms of its environmental impacts of
MCB on the whole, various models (Latham et al., 2008; Jones et al., 2010;
Rasch et al., 2009) have suggested that albedo enhancement will be enough to
balance the radiative forcing for a doubling of CO2 and in some cases the
temperature reductions have been asserted to also be enough to reduce polar ice
loss (Parkes et al., 2012). MCB also has
the ability to target specific areas meaning those areas most at risk to
warming can be addressed. Parkes et al., (2012) demonstrate this through their
models which show cloud modification in the Northern Atlantic reducing summer
ice retreats. Although the links between climate change and extreme weather are
still being explored (for more info have a look at Joon's informative blog) it has been asserted that increased sea surface temperatures
might be linked to hurricane intensification. MCB, due to its capacity to be
applied regionally, could therefore be used in hurricane prone areas to
counteract them occurring.
Geo-engineering wouldn’t be the same if it
had no negative effects …. Thus as for the negative environmental effects of
geo-engineering, firstly there are the localized changes in albedo. Although
these local changes were just stated as an advantage they can also be a
disadvantage – the weather systems and climate of the earth are non-linear and
so predictions of the impacts upon regional climates and the global climate
system itself are unfortunately shrouded with uncertainty and so a negative
response to MCB cannot be entirely rule out. The non-linear nature of the
planet also makes the link between MCB and polar ice reductions (Parkes et al.,2012) precarious as relations or more specifically responses are unlikely to be
this in sync and predictable – particularly when current modeling and knowledge
limitations about climatic responses and relationships are taken into account.
Finally, MCB has been shown to cause changes to both the magnitude and pattern
of precipitation. Having said that, a study by Jones and Haywood (2012) that
uses the HadGEM2–ES model has shown that impacts on precipitation are less in
degree to that simulated by previous studies which use much simpler treatments
of this geo-engineering process. This finding is important as it highlights the
need for more knowledge and research on the climate intricacies that are
related to this methods implementation.
Marine Cloud Brightening, like all the
geo-engineering techniques discussed thus far, has positives and negatives as a
method. It is limited in that we do not know how applicable the method is due
to a lack of knowledge about climate intricacies. Furthermore, if warming
surpasses a doubling of CO2 the method cannot be used to bring us back to
pre-industrial levels of warming and when current rates of warming are taken
into consideration the method is unlikely to be able to fully rectify climate
change. More research is thus needed to understand the effects of the method
and after this it’s application can be determined. However, if the choice had
to be made between sulfate aerosols and MCB, sulfate aerosols have been argued
as being the better option (Jones et al., 2011). In my opinion therefore I
think researchers should focus on developing sulfate aerosol methods rather
than both.
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